33rd percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Elijah Roberts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers / LDE / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING54.2D
POSITION RANK#85of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Below starter baselinevalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form54.0
Player-created value54.2
Next-season projection58.4
Production forecast58.4
Position-relative forecast grade54.2
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025 seasons.
Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
29th percentile
30th percentile
12th percentile
57th percentile
41st percentile
54.2 season score507 qualifying plays