RB GRADE RECEIPT

David Montgomery

Houston Texans / RB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING83.3B+

POSITION RANK#9of 32 rated RBs

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Quality starter forecastevidence-shrunk multi-season

Current form84.0

Player-created value84.0

Next-season projection80.8

Production forecast83.3

Position-relative forecast grade83.3

RB production uses EPA per touch, first-down rate, workload, RYOE, contact balance, scoring, and lost-fumble rate.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

Prospect pedigree and testing are context only; qualifying NFL production is authoritative.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Total EPA Per Touch0.020

64th percentile

First Down Rate28.6

71st percentile

Touches Per Game10.7

12th percentile

Ryoe Per Attempt0.799

67th percentile

Yards After Contact Per Attempt2.190

64th percentile

Total TD Rate4.396

59th percentile

Turnover Rate0.549

47th percentile

81.7 season score182 qualifying plays