K GRADE RECEIPT

Blake Grupe

Indianapolis Colts / K / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT

NFSMELL RATING76.1B

POSITION RANK#18of 32 rated Ks

WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Solid production forecastconservative one-season specialist projection

Current form73.0

Player-created value76.1

Next-season projection75.3

Production forecast75.3

Position-relative forecast grade76.1

Model receipt

Kicker production uses sample-shrunk accuracy by distance band, extra points, workload, and range.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the conservative one-season specialist projection because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Long Fg Pct Shrunk68.7

49th percentile

Medium Fg Pct Shrunk67.1

42nd percentile

Pat Pct Shrunk98.5

62nd percentile

Short Fg Pct Shrunk91.4

30th percentile

Fg Attempts Per Game2.312

76th percentile

Long Fg60

73rd percentile

76.1 season score62 qualifying plays