81st percentile
DE GRADE RECEIPT
Brian Burns
New York Giants / LOLB / Healthy
Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING94.6S
POSITION RANK#2of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING
Grade components
Elite production forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form94.0
Player-created value94.6
Next-season projection90.7
Production forecast90.7
Position-relative forecast grade94.6
Model receipt
Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.
The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.
OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.
The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.
OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.
2025 PERFORMANCE
Position-specific metrics
87th percentile
67th percentile
77th percentile
66th percentile
69th percentile
95.2 season score862 qualifying plays