NFSMELL Open app
DE GRADE RECEIPT

Brian Burns

New York Giants / LOLB / Healthy

Model version: player-forecast-v24 Data updated: August 24, 2026 at 6:13 PM EDT
NFSMELL RATING94.6S
POSITION RANK#2of 86 rated DEs
WHY THIS RATING

Grade components

Elite production forecastvalidated three-season edge forecast
Current form94.0
Player-created value94.6
Next-season projection90.7
Production forecast90.7
Position-relative forecast grade94.6

Model receipt

Edge production uses pressure, non-sack backfield disruption, tackling, missed tackles, forced fumbles, and availability.

The displayed performance component is recency-weighted across qualifying 2025, 2024, 2023 seasons.

OVR uses the validated three-season edge forecast because it outperformed the prior composite in the 2024-2025 walk-forward audit.

The non-QB forecast target is next-season position-relative production, not an independent film or talent grade.

OVR preserves that forecast ordering on the common position-relative grade scale; the separately displayed projection stays regressed for uncertainty and team impact.

2025 PERFORMANCE

Position-specific metrics

Pressures Per 100 Snaps4.756
81st percentile
Snap Pct77.1
87th percentile
Non Sack Tfl Per 100 Snaps0.638
67th percentile
Tackles Per 100 Snaps7.773
77th percentile
Missed Tackle Pct5.634
66th percentile
Forced Fumbles Per 100 Snaps0.348
69th percentile
95.2 season score862 qualifying plays